Eca Marcellus Trust Stock Performance

ECTM Stock  USD 0.59  0.03  4.84%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ECA Marcellus holds a performance score of 5. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ECA Marcellus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ECA Marcellus is likely to outperform the market. Please check ECA Marcellus' coefficient of variation and the relationship between the treynor ratio and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether ECA Marcellus' current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ECA Marcellus Trust are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, ECA Marcellus displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

ECA Marcellus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  52.00  in ECA Marcellus Trust on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding ECA Marcellus Trust or generate 13.46% return on investment over 90 days. ECA Marcellus Trust is currently generating 0.2985% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.2574% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of pink sheets are less volatile than ECA, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ECA Marcellus is expected to generate 5.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

ECA Marcellus Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ECA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.59 90 days 0.59 
about 13.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECA Marcellus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.46 (This ECA Marcellus Trust probability density function shows the probability of ECA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ECA Marcellus Trust has a beta of -0.43 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ECA Marcellus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ECA Marcellus Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ECA Marcellus Trust has an alpha of 0.398, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ECA Marcellus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ECA Marcellus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECA Marcellus Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECA Marcellus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.594.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.484.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.624.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.550.63
Details

ECA Marcellus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECA Marcellus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECA Marcellus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECA Marcellus Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECA Marcellus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

ECA Marcellus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECA Marcellus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECA Marcellus Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECA Marcellus Trust has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ECA Marcellus Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

ECA Marcellus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECA Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECA Marcellus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECA Marcellus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 M

ECA Marcellus Fundamentals Growth

ECA Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ECA Marcellus, and ECA Marcellus fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ECA Pink Sheet performance.

About ECA Marcellus Performance

By examining ECA Marcellus' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into ECA Marcellus' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that ECA Marcellus is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
ECA Marcellus Trust I owns royalty interests in producing and development horizontal natural gas wells for Energy Corporation of America . ECA Marcellus Trust I was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Houston, Texas. Eca Marcellus operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Things to note about ECA Marcellus Trust performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ECA Marcellus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for ECA Marcellus Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECA Marcellus Trust has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ECA Marcellus Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating ECA Marcellus' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ECA Marcellus' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing ECA Marcellus' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ECA Marcellus' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ECA Marcellus' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ECA Marcellus' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ECA Marcellus' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ECA Marcellus' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into ECA Marcellus' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ECA Marcellus' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ECA Marcellus' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in ECA Pink Sheet

ECA Marcellus financial ratios help investors to determine whether ECA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ECA with respect to the benefits of owning ECA Marcellus security.